Postmatch editorial

The prices said close and the pitch agreed

The final score was NSÍ 2-2 Lugano. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

The late equaliser came from Kevin Behrens 79', which kept the game level at the finish.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Lugano led Shots on target 4-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Lugano also shaded Total shots 6-18.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Lugano the favourite at 73.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Lugano

73.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Lugano

NSÍ

Lugano

4

9

Total shots

Lugano

NSÍ

Lugano

6

18

Possession

Lugano

NSÍ

Lugano

40%

60%