Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Novara 1-2 Piacenza. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Alex Pederzoli put the first mark on the match 40', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Novara led Corners 13-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Novara also shaded Total shots 21-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Novara the favourite at 70.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Novara

70.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Novara

Novara

Piacenza

13

1

Total shots

Novara

Novara

Piacenza

21

8

Shots on target

Novara

Novara

Piacenza

8

4