Postmatch editorial

Leeds United flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Nottingham Forest 0-2 Leeds United. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when James Justin scored 75' for Leeds United.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Leeds United led Shots on target 3-5. Leeds United also shaded Total shots 8-13.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Nottingham Forest the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Nottingham Forest

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Leeds United

Nottingham Forest

Leeds United

3

5

Total shots

Leeds United

Nottingham Forest

Leeds United

8

13

Corners

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Leeds United

3

2