Postmatch editorial

Fenerbahçe flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Nottingham Forest 1-2 Fenerbahçe. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Kerem Aktürkoğlu put the first mark on the match 22', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Nottingham Forest led Corners 5-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Nottingham Forest also shaded Total shots 13-11.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Nottingham Forest the favourite at 64.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Nottingham Forest

64.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Fenerbahçe

5

3

Total shots

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Fenerbahçe

13

11

Possession

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Fenerbahçe

54%

46%