Nottingham Forest
Game ended in draw.
1 - 1
FT
Crystal Palace
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Morgan Gibbs-White put the first mark on the match 5', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Crystal Palace led Shots on target 1-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Crystal Palace also shaded Possession 33%-67%.
Before kickoff, our model made Nottingham Forest the likeliest result at 43.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced Nottingham Forest at 47.8% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (55.5%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Nottingham Forest
43.3%
Market result
Nottingham Forest
47.8%
BTTS
Yes
55.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
1
3
Possession
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
33%
67%
Total shots
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
9
14
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.