Postmatch editorial

The pre-match tension never quite broke

The final score was Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Murillo put the first mark on the match 23', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Nottingham Forest led Corners 7-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Aston Villa also shaded Possession 41%-59%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Nottingham Forest the favourite at 42.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Nottingham Forest

42.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa

7

3

Possession

Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa

41%

59%

Shots on target

Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa

4

5