Nottingham Forest
Game ended in draw.
1 - 1
FT
AFC Bournemouth
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Nottingham Forest 1-1 AFC Bournemouth. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Morgan Gibbs-White put the first mark on the match 34', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Nottingham Forest led Corners 6-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Nottingham Forest also shaded Shots on target 5-4.
Before kickoff, our model made Nottingham Forest the likeliest result at 38.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced AFC Bournemouth at 51.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (54.6%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Nottingham Forest
38.3%
Market result
AFC Bournemouth
51.0%
BTTS
Yes
54.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
AFC Bournemouth
6
3
Shots on target
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
AFC Bournemouth
5
4
Possession
AFC BournemouthNottingham Forest
AFC Bournemouth
45%
55%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.