Northern Ireland
Germany won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Germany
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Germany delivered it
The final score was Northern Ireland 0-1 Germany. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Nick Woltemade put the first mark on the match 31', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Germany led Possession 33%-67%. Northern Ireland also shaded Shots on target 3-2.
Before kickoff, our model made Germany the likeliest result at 44.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced Germany at 73.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.0%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Germany
44.2%
Market result
Germany
73.0%
BTTS
Yes
52.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
GermanyNorthern Ireland
Germany
33%
67%
Shots on target
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
Germany
3
2
Corners
GermanyNorthern Ireland
Germany
4
5
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.