North Macedonia
North Macedonia won after full-time.
5 - 0
FT
Liechtenstein
Postmatch editorial
North Macedonia made the numbers look right
The final score was North Macedonia 5-0 Liechtenstein. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Luka Stankovski scored 90' for North Macedonia.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: North Macedonia led Shots on target 8-1. North Macedonia also shaded Total shots 18-3.
Before kickoff, our model made North Macedonia the likeliest result at 71.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced North Macedonia at 95.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (68.4%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
North Macedonia
71.2%
Market result
North Macedonia
95.2%
BTTS
No
68.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia
Liechtenstein
8
1
Total shots
North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia
Liechtenstein
18
3
Possession
North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia
Liechtenstein
71%
29%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.