Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Nõmme Kalju 2-1 Shelbourne. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Shelbourne struck first through Daniel Kelly 14', but Nõmme Kalju recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Nõmme Kalju led Corners 5-2. Shelbourne also shaded Possession 46%-54%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Shelbourne the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Shelbourne
50.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Nõmme KaljuNõmme Kalju
Shelbourne
5
2
Possession
ShelbourneNõmme Kalju
Shelbourne
46%
54%