Postmatch editorial

Noah upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Noah 1-0 AZ Alkmaar. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Hovhannes Hambardzumyan  put the first mark on the match 53', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: AZ Alkmaar led Corners 1-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. AZ Alkmaar also shaded Possession 30%-70%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 50.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

AZ Alkmaar

50.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

AZ Alkmaar

Noah

AZ Alkmaar

1

5

Possession

AZ Alkmaar

Noah

AZ Alkmaar

30%

70%

Total shots

Noah

Noah

AZ Alkmaar

13

9