Nice
Paris Saint Germain won after full-time.
0 - 4
FT
Paris Saint Germain
Postmatch editorial
The script held and Paris Saint Germain delivered it
The final score was Nice 0-4 Paris Saint Germain. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Warren Zaïre-Emery scored 85' for Paris Saint Germain.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Paris Saint Germain led Shots on target 1-10. Paris Saint Germain also shaded Total shots 6-17.
Before kickoff, our model made Paris Saint Germain the likeliest result at 63.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced Paris Saint Germain at 69.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (51.7%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Paris Saint Germain
63.9%
Market result
Paris Saint Germain
69.2%
BTTS
Yes
51.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Paris Saint GermainNice
Paris Saint Germain
1
10
Total shots
Paris Saint GermainNice
Paris Saint Germain
6
17
Possession
Paris Saint GermainNice
Paris Saint Germain
26%
74%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.