Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Nice 0-1 Caen. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Alexander Djiku put the first mark on the match 74', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Nice led Shots on target 8-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Nice also shaded Total shots 21-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Nice the favourite at 61.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Nice

61.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Nice

Nice

Caen

8

2

Total shots

Nice

Nice

Caen

21

7

Corners

Nice

Nice

Caen

11

4