Newcastle United
Newcastle United won after full-time.
3 - 1
FT
West Ham United
Postmatch editorial
Newcastle United turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Newcastle United 3-1 West Ham United. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Nick Woltemade put the first mark on the match 15', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Newcastle United led Corners 9-1. Newcastle United also shaded Possession 55%-45%.
Before kickoff, our model made Newcastle United the likeliest result at 53.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced Newcastle United at 47.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (60.3%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Newcastle United
53.3%
Market result
Newcastle United
47.6%
BTTS
Yes
60.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
West Ham United
9
1
Possession
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
West Ham United
55%
45%
Shots on target
West Ham UnitedNewcastle United
West Ham United
7
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.