Postmatch editorial

Newcastle United flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Newcastle United 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Harvey Barnes scored 90+5' for Newcastle United.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Brighton & Hove Albion led Corners 2-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. Brighton & Hove Albion also shaded Possession 32%-68%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Brighton & Hove Albion

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Brighton & Hove Albion

Newcastle United

Brighton & Hove Albion

2

10

Possession

Brighton & Hove Albion

Newcastle United

Brighton & Hove Albion

32%

68%

Shots on target

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Brighton & Hove Albion

6

4