Postmatch editorial

AFC Bournemouth upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Newcastle United 1-2 AFC Bournemouth. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Adrien Truffert scored 85' for AFC Bournemouth.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: AFC Bournemouth led Corners 2-3. Newcastle United also shaded Possession 54%-46%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Newcastle United the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Newcastle United

45.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

AFC Bournemouth

Newcastle United

AFC Bournemouth

2

3

Possession

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

AFC Bournemouth

54%

46%

Shots on target

Newcastle United

AFC Bournemouth

3

3