New Zealand
Oman won after full-time.
8 - 1
FT
Vanuatu
Postmatch editorial
New Zealand made the numbers look right
The final score was New Zealand 8-1 Vanuatu. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Callum McCowatt scored 89' for New Zealand.
Before kickoff, our model made New Zealand the likeliest result at 72.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced New Zealand at 99.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (64.4%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
New Zealand
72.8%
Market result
New Zealand
99.0%
BTTS
No
64.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
No reliable match statistics were returned for this game.
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.