Postmatch editorial

Neftçi upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Neftçi 2-1 SK Rapid. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Ataa Jaber put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: SK Rapid led Corners 1-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. SK Rapid also shaded Shots on target 6-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made SK Rapid the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

SK Rapid

51.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

SK Rapid

Neftçi

SK Rapid

1

7

Shots on target

SK Rapid

Neftçi

SK Rapid

6

8

Possession

SK Rapid

Neftçi

SK Rapid

41%

58%