Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Telstar. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Patrick Brouwer put the first mark on the match 1', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: NEC Nijmegen led Total shots 27-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. NEC Nijmegen also shaded Corners 13-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 69.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

NEC Nijmegen

69.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

Telstar

27

8

Corners

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

Telstar

13

3

Possession

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

Telstar

71%

29%