Postmatch editorial

Navalcarnero flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Navalcarnero 3-1 SD Eibar. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

SD Eibar struck first through Yoshinori Muto 16', but Navalcarnero recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Navalcarnero led Shots on target 7-4. SD Eibar also shaded Total shots 11-20.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made SD Eibar the favourite at 64.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

SD Eibar

64.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Navalcarnero

Navalcarnero

SD Eibar

7

4

Total shots

SD Eibar

Navalcarnero

SD Eibar

11

20

Possession

SD Eibar

Navalcarnero

SD Eibar

41%

59%