Postmatch editorial

Navalcarnero flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Navalcarnero 2-1 Merida. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Iker Perera put the first mark on the match 26', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Navalcarnero led Shots on target 6-4. Merida also shaded Corners 3-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Merida the favourite at 43.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Merida

43.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Navalcarnero

Navalcarnero

Merida

6

4

Corners

Merida

Navalcarnero

Merida

3

7

Total shots

Merida

Navalcarnero

Merida

13

17