Postmatch editorial
Navalcarnero upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Navalcarnero 1-0 Las Palmas. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Vavá Guerreiro scored 90' for Navalcarnero.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Las Palmas led Shots on target 1-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Las Palmas also shaded Possession 43%-57%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Las Palmas the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Las Palmas
45.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Las PalmasNavalcarnero
Las Palmas
1
4
Possession
Las PalmasNavalcarnero
Las Palmas
43%
57%
Corners
Las PalmasNavalcarnero
Las Palmas
4
5