Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Nantes 3-0 Olympique Marseille. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Ignatius Ganago put the first mark on the match 50', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Olympique Marseille led Shots on target 6-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Olympique Marseille also shaded Possession 42%-58%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Olympique Marseille the favourite at 52.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Olympique Marseille

52.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Olympique Marseille

Nantes

Olympique Marseille

6

8

Possession

Olympique Marseille

Nantes

Olympique Marseille

42%

58%

Corners

Olympique Marseille

Nantes

Olympique Marseille

7

8