Postmatch editorial
Nacional made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Nacional 2-0 Vitória Guimarães. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Jesús Ramírez scored 86' for Nacional.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Vitória Guimarães led Total shots 5-13, even though the scoreboard went another way. Vitória Guimarães also shaded Corners 2-6.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Nacional the favourite at 48.8% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Nacional
48.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
Vitória GuimarãesNacional
Vitória Guimarães
5
13
Corners
Vitória GuimarãesNacional
Vitória Guimarães
2
6
Possession
Vitória GuimarãesNacional
Vitória Guimarães
35%
65%