Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Nacional 1-2 AVS. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Nacional struck first through Filipe Soares 4', but AVS recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Nacional led Shots on target 6-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Nacional also shaded Possession 68%-32%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Nacional the favourite at 66.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Nacional
66.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
NacionalNacional
AVS
6
3
Possession
NacionalNacional
AVS
68%
32%
Total shots
NacionalNacional
AVS
25
19