Postmatch editorial
The prices said close and the pitch agreed
The final score was NAC Breda 1-1 Willem II. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Elías Már Ómarsson put the first mark on the match 24', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: NAC Breda led Total shots 17-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. NAC Breda also shaded Possession 56%-44%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made NAC Breda the favourite at 57.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
NAC Breda
57.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
NAC BredaNAC Breda
Willem II
17
11
Possession
NAC BredaNAC Breda
Willem II
56%
44%
Shots on target
NAC Breda
Willem II
6
6