Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Marko Djurisic put the first mark on the match 20', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dinamo Tbilisi led Corners 1-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dinamo Tbilisi also shaded Possession 34%-66%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dinamo Tbilisi the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Dinamo Tbilisi

51.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Dinamo Tbilisi

Mornar

Dinamo Tbilisi

1

3

Possession

Dinamo Tbilisi

Mornar

Dinamo Tbilisi

34%

66%

Shots on target

Mornar

Dinamo Tbilisi

3

3