Postmatch editorial

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Mornar 1-2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Mornar struck first through Jovan Dasic 20', but Atlètic Club d'Escaldes recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Mornar led Corners 4-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes also shaded Possession 49%-51%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Mornar the favourite at 63.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Mornar

63.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Mornar

Mornar

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

4

1

Possession

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Mornar

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

49%

51%