Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Moreirense 3-2 Estrela Amadora. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Estrela Amadora struck first through Jovane Cabral 13', but Moreirense recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Estrela Amadora led Corners 1-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Moreirense also shaded Shots on target 5-3.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Estrela Amadora the favourite at 40.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Estrela Amadora
40.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Estrela AmadoraMoreirense
Estrela Amadora
1
4
Shots on target
MoreirenseMoreirense
Estrela Amadora
5
3
Possession
MoreirenseMoreirense
Estrela Amadora
66%
34%