Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Monza 0-2 Catanzaro. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Ruggero Frosinini scored 78' for Catanzaro.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Catanzaro led Shots on target 4-8. Catanzaro also shaded Possession 33%-67%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Monza the favourite at 53.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Monza

53.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Catanzaro

Monza

Catanzaro

4

8

Possession

Catanzaro

Monza

Catanzaro

33%

67%

Total shots

Catanzaro

Monza

Catanzaro

9

15