Montenegro
Czech Republic won after full-time.
0 - 2
FT
Czech Republic
Postmatch editorial
Czech Republic made the numbers look right
The final score was Montenegro 0-2 Czech Republic. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Vaclav Cerny scored 90+6' for Czech Republic.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Czech Republic led Shots on target 5-10. Montenegro also shaded Total shots 22-20.
Before kickoff, our model made Czech Republic the likeliest result at 36.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced Czech Republic at 59.9% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (55.1%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Czech Republic
36.9%
Market result
Czech Republic
59.9%
BTTS
Yes
55.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Czech RepublicMontenegro
Czech Republic
5
10
Total shots
MontenegroMontenegro
Czech Republic
22
20
Possession
MontenegroMontenegro
Czech Republic
51%
49%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.