Postmatch editorial

Monopoli made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Monopoli 1-0 Modena. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

The decisive turn arrived late when Lorenzo Paolucci scored 78' for Monopoli.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Monopoli led Shots on target 2-1. Modena also shaded Corners 2-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Monopoli the favourite at 52.6% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Monopoli

52.6%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Monopoli

Monopoli

Modena

2

1

Corners

Modena

Monopoli

Modena

2

3

Possession

Monopoli

Monopoli

Modena

56%

44%