Postmatch editorial
Juve Stabia flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Modena 0-1 Juve Stabia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Kevin Zeroli scored 86' for Juve Stabia.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Modena led Shots on target 4-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Modena also shaded Total shots 13-7.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Modena the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Modena
45.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
ModenaModena
Juve Stabia
4
1
Total shots
ModenaModena
Juve Stabia
13
7
Corners
Juve StabiaModena
Juve Stabia
2
4