Postmatch editorial
Avellino upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Modena 0-1 Avellino. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Michele Besaggio put the first mark on the match 8', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Modena led Shots on target 10-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Modena also shaded Total shots 43-6.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Modena the favourite at 61.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Modena
61.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
ModenaModena
Avellino
10
2
Total shots
ModenaModena
Avellino
43
6
Corners
ModenaModena
Avellino
12
2