Postmatch editorial

AIK flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Mjällby 1-2 AIK. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Victor Gonçalves Andersson put the first mark on the match 74', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Mjällby led Total shots 27-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Mjällby also shaded Shots on target 7-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Mjällby the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Mjällby

45.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Mjällby

Mjällby

AIK

27

7

Shots on target

Mjällby

Mjällby

AIK

7

3

Corners

Mjällby

Mjällby

AIK

5

2