Postmatch editorial
Mirassol made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Mirassol 2-1 Grêmio. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
Bruno Santos put the first mark on the match 16', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Mirassol led Total shots 14-9. Grêmio also shaded Shots on target 3-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Mirassol the favourite at 51.8% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Mirassol
51.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
MirassolMirassol
Grêmio
14
9
Shots on target
GrêmioMirassol
Grêmio
3
4
Possession
GrêmioMirassol
Grêmio
45%
55%