Postmatch editorial

Hull City flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Millwall 0-2 Hull City. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Joe Gelhardt scored 79' for Hull City.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Millwall led Possession 67%-33%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hull City also shaded Shots on target 5-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Millwall the favourite at 55.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Millwall

55.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Millwall

Millwall

Hull City

67%

33%

Shots on target

Hull City

Millwall

Hull City

5

7

Total shots

Hull City

Millwall

Hull City

10

14