Postmatch editorial

Hampton & Richmond upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Merthyr Town 0-1 Hampton & Richmond. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Craig Fasanmade put the first mark on the match 72', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Merthyr Town led Total shots 11-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hampton & Richmond also shaded Possession 44%-56%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Merthyr Town the favourite at 48.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Merthyr Town

48.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

Hampton & Richmond

11

4

Possession

Hampton & Richmond

Merthyr Town

Hampton & Richmond

44%

56%

Shots on target

Merthyr Town

Hampton & Richmond

2

2