Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Melilla 1-2 UCAM Murcia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Álvaro Barbosa put the first mark on the match 3', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Melilla led Possession 55%-45%, even though the scoreboard went another way.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Melilla the favourite at 39.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Melilla
39.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
MelillaMelilla
UCAM Murcia
55%
45%
Shots on target
Melilla
UCAM Murcia
4
4
Corners
Melilla
UCAM Murcia
4
4