Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Melgar 2-4 FC Cajamarca. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Melgar struck first through Jhonny Vidales 10', but FC Cajamarca recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Melgar led Possession 69%-31%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Melgar also shaded Corners 10-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Melgar the favourite at 80.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Melgar
80.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
MelgarMelgar
FC Cajamarca
69%
31%
Corners
MelgarMelgar
FC Cajamarca
10
4
Shots on target
FC CajamarcaMelgar
FC Cajamarca
6
7