Mauritania
Game ended in draw.
0 - 0
FT
South Sudan
Postmatch editorial
The prices said close and the pitch agreed
The final score was Mauritania 0-0 South Sudan. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Neither Mauritania nor South Sudan found a breakthrough, so the game stayed goalless all the way through.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Mauritania led Shots on target 5-0, even though the scoreboard went another way. Mauritania also shaded Total shots 12-2.
Before kickoff, our model made Mauritania the likeliest result at 56.1%, while the median bookmaker line priced Mauritania at 74.1% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (54.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Mauritania
56.1%
Market result
Mauritania
74.1%
BTTS
No
54.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
MauritaniaMauritania
South Sudan
5
0
Total shots
MauritaniaMauritania
South Sudan
12
2
Possession
MauritaniaMauritania
South Sudan
69%
31%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.