Postmatch editorial

Marítimo made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Raphael Guzzo put the first mark on the match 61', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Casa Pia led Corners 2-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Marítimo also shaded Total shots 16-9.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Marítimo the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Marítimo

51.3%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Casa Pia

Marítimo

Casa Pia

2

6

Total shots

Marítimo

Marítimo

Casa Pia

16

9

Possession

Casa Pia

Marítimo

Casa Pia

39%

61%