Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Marine 2-3 Buxton. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Tai Sodje scored 86' for Buxton.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Buxton led Shots on target 4-7. Marine also shaded Corners 5-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Marine the favourite at 40.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Marine

40.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Buxton

Marine

Buxton

4

7

Corners

Marine

Marine

Buxton

5

2

Total shots

Buxton

Marine

Buxton

11

12