Postmatch editorial

Marbella flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Marbella 1-0 Burgos. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Jorge Álvarez scored 90+3' for Marbella.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Marbella led Total shots 8-4. Marbella also shaded Shots on target 5-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Burgos the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Burgos

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Marbella

Marbella

Burgos

8

4

Shots on target

Marbella

Marbella

Burgos

5

3

Corners

Marbella

Marbella

Burgos

3

2