Manchester United
Manchester United won after full-time.
3 - 2
FT
Liverpool
Postmatch editorial
Manchester United turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Manchester United 3-2 Liverpool. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Kobbie Mainoo scored 77' for Manchester United.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Liverpool led Possession 37%-63%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Manchester United also shaded Total shots 18-13.
Before kickoff, our model made Manchester United the likeliest result at 42.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced Manchester United at 42.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (65.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Manchester United
42.3%
Market result
Manchester United
42.6%
BTTS
Yes
65.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
LiverpoolManchester United
Liverpool
37%
63%
Total shots
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Liverpool
18
13
Corners
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Liverpool
3
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.