Manchester United
Manchester United won after full-time.
2 - 1
FT
Crystal Palace
Postmatch editorial
Manchester United made the numbers look right
The final score was Manchester United 2-1 Crystal Palace. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Crystal Palace struck first through Maxence Lacroix 4', but Manchester United recovered and flipped the match.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Manchester United led Shots on target 11-3. Manchester United also shaded Total shots 20-8.
Before kickoff, our model made Manchester United the likeliest result at 50.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Manchester United at 65.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (54.5%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Manchester United
50.0%
Market result
Manchester United
65.4%
BTTS
Yes
54.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Crystal Palace
11
3
Total shots
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Crystal Palace
20
8
Corners
Manchester UnitedManchester United
Crystal Palace
7
1
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.