Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Málaga 2-0 Real Sociedad. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Adrián González Morales put the first mark on the match 11', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Real Sociedad led Total shots 5-15, even though the scoreboard went another way. Málaga also shaded Shots on target 4-2.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Real Sociedad the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Real Sociedad

51.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Real Sociedad

Málaga

Real Sociedad

5

15

Shots on target

Málaga

Málaga

Real Sociedad

4

2

Possession

Real Sociedad

Málaga

Real Sociedad

40%

60%