Postmatch editorial

Maidstone United flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Maidstone United 1-0 Stevenage. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Sam Corne put the first mark on the match 45+2', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Stevenage led Shots on target 2-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Stevenage also shaded Possession 43%-57%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Stevenage the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Stevenage

62.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Stevenage

Maidstone United

Stevenage

2

3

Possession

Stevenage

Maidstone United

Stevenage

43%

57%

Corners

Maidstone United

Maidstone United

Stevenage

4

3