Postmatch editorial
Paide followed the pre-match prices
The final score was Magpies 2-3 Paide. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Robi Saarma scored 90+8' for Paide.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Magpies led Total shots 11-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Paide also shaded Possession 42%-58%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Paide the favourite at 63.7% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Paide
63.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
MagpiesMagpies
Paide
11
8
Possession
PaideMagpies
Paide
42%
58%
Corners
PaideMagpies
Paide
7
10