Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Ludogorets 2-1 Ferencvárosi. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Kwadwo Duah put the first mark on the match 23', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ferencvárosi led Total shots 10-17, even though the scoreboard went another way. Ferencvárosi also shaded Possession 43%-57%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ferencvárosi the favourite at 38.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Ferencvárosi

38.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Ferencvárosi

Ludogorets

Ferencvárosi

10

17

Possession

Ferencvárosi

Ludogorets

Ferencvárosi

43%

57%

Shots on target

Ludogorets

Ferencvárosi

4

4